Brandit Flags BTC’s Green Zone — Is It Time for Saylor’s Camp to Panic?

is now worth $86,032, down 0.7% over the last 7 days. The cryptocurrency shot above $92,000 for a brief time before falling back. Its trading range over the past 24 hours has been between $85,694.01 and $91,904.65. BTC’s market cap is $1.72 trillion, and its 24-hour trading volume exceeds $62.7 billion.

This pullback shows that volatility is higher near weekly highs, which has been followed by strong tradeing pressure that has sluggished bullish momentum.

The asset’s success is happening in a market where short-term gains have given way to longer-term stability. Traders have faced turbulent conditions, with BTC struggling to hold gains later than testing resistance levels.

This situation has made technical indicators even more significant, especially when the digital asset is approaching key levels in established trend models.

Brandt’s Logarithmic Model Shows Risks in the Green Zone

, a veteran trader and analyst, has pointed out BTC’s place in his own logarithmic trend model. He warns that the cryptocurrency is approaching the upper limit of the lower green zone. In this model, green zones correspond to periods of relative stability and accumulation.

However, being close to the upper edge has historically come before cycle bounces toward higher resistance areas, which are usually followed by strong corrections.

Brandt presented his analysis in the form of a thorough graphic. He said, “Not to burst anyone’s bubble, but the upper boundary of the lower green zone begins at sub-$70s, and the lower boundary support is in the mid-$40s.” How long will it be until Saylor’s Shipmates ask about the lifeboats? $BTC.” 

The model shows that the upper limit of the lower green zone begins in the sub-$70,000 range, and that foundational support extends to the mid-$40,000 range. Support is currently at $61,254, but it might go down to $36,750, with resistance between $222,246 and $333,369.

Historical examples demonstrate the model’s predictive power. BTC reached its highest point in December 2017, when it hit $20,076 near the top green limit. It then fell sharply, reaching support around $3,100 at the bottom edge.

In the identical way, the asset hit $69,290 in November 2021 but couldn’t stay at that level, dropping to $15,500 by November 2022. These examples show how green zone tops have been reversal points that have triggered drawdowns lasting months.

What This Means For Institutional Holders and Saylor’s Plan

Brandt’s mention of “Saylor’s Shipmates” appears aimed at large institutions, especially and its outspoken executive chairman, Michael Saylor. His company has a lot of BTC as a fundamental treasury asset.

The commentary suggests that a drop into the lower green zone might make leveraged investors more anxious, raising concerns about cost bases, margin pressures, and the need for contingency planning—metaphorically, “life-boats” in a stormy market.

One person disagreed, saying that BTC’s inability to break through the top boundary of its long-term channel shows fragileness, which could cause it to break down below the lower trend line. Brandt doesn’t agree with this negative view, but he does say that prior trends make these dangers more likely.

Data on Liquidation Shows Decline of Bullish Bets

Recent liquidation indicators show that long positions are being hit harder than short positions during the downturn, adding to the technical concerns.

Over the last 4 hours, total liquidations reached $20.37 million. Longs made up $18.12 million of that, and shorts made up $2.25 million. The number rose to $191.91 million over 12 hours, with long totalling $186.56 million and short liquidations totalling $5.35 million. 

In the last 24 hours, a total of $205.50 million was lost, with $188.55 million coming from optimistic wagers and $16.94 million coming from bearish bets. This data shows that upside leverage is unwinding rapidly, as traders who bet on more rallies have to cover. 

The fact that losses are mostly on longs fits with the recent trade-off, which might make things worse if sentiment becomes worse. In short, Brandt’s green zone notice puts BTC at a critical point, where previous reversals and current liquidations could test the resolve of high-profile holders like camp.

As the market moves through these levels, it will be significant to keep a tight eye on support levels to view if this is just a normal downturn or the begin of largeger difficultys.