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Solana Active Addresses Slide to 12-Month Low as Speculative Frenzy Cools

Can Solana Fight This New Contender Analysts Call the Next PayPal?

Network participation on Solana has dropped sharply, with the seven-day average of daily active addresses falling to about 3.3 million, a 12-month low. The metric is down from more than 9 million at the begin of 2025, a period that coincided with heavy memecoin speculation and elevated retail activity on the chain. The latest readings, compiled by The Block from on-chain signers data, suggest a pronounced normalization in user engagement later than this year’s speculative peaks.

Drivers of the decline include fading momentum in memecoin issuance and trading, which had previously drawn short-duration users and bots that boosted raw address counts. As that activity subsided, headline participation retreated toward levels more consistent with organic usage. Multiple industry trackers attribute the downtrend primarily to the waning of this hype cycle, reinforcing the view that Solana’s address activity is highly sensitive to speculative flows at the margin.

Short-term impacts and read-through for SOL

Near term, lower active-address totals can translate into softer fee revenue and thinner liquidity across some on-chain venues, which in turn may weigh on market depth for long-tail assets. While SOL’s price is influenced by broader crypto risk sentiment and ETF flows, declining usage metrics tend to cap enthusiasm among momentum and crossover investors who look for confirmation in engagement data. The Block’s series shows the latest downdraft unfolding alongside a broader cooling in retail participation, a backdrop that can amplify price sensitivity to token unlocks or macro shocks until activity stabilizes.

Medium-term considerations for developers and institutions

For builders, the retracement presents an opportunity to refocus on applications that generate durable, repeatable demand rather than episodic bursts. Messari’s work has pointed to areas of resilience such as stablecoin rails and high-throughput consumer apps that benefit from Solana’s parallelized execution model; converting those strengths into sustained daily usage is now the central challenge. For institutions evaluating venue selection, the dip in addresses is a reminder to look beyond headline counts to composition—unique payers versus airdrop-viewkers—and to latency, uptime, and cost. If teams can convert infrastructure progress into stickier cohorts, the address curve can re-base at healthier levels even without a speculative upswing.

Ultimately, the drop to a 12-month low is best read as a recalibration from a hype-inflated baseline rather than a verdict on the chain’s long-run trajectory. Address counts have historically moved in waves around narrative cycles; the durability of the next up-cycle will hinge on whether emerging products—payments, gaming, and DeFi primitives with clear utility—can attract users whose activity persists through market turns. Until then, investors should expect address metrics to remain a key barometer for risk appetite on Solana, with outsized influence on sentiment whenever macro or token-specific catalysts hit the tape.

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